Snapshot
Itron, Inc. reported $572M of revenue in Q4 2025, up -6.7% year over year, with diluted EPS of $2.21 and an operating margin of 13.8%.
- Revenue
- $572M
- YoY growth
- +-6.7%
- Diluted EPS
- $2.21
- Operating margin
- 13.8%
What management said
- •Tom Deitrich, Itron's President and Chief Executive Officer, and Joan Hooper, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, will review Itron's fourth quarter results and provide a general business update and outlook.
- •Before Tom begins, a reminder that our earnings release and financial presentation include non-GAAP financial information that we believe enhances the overall understanding of our current and future performance.
- •Reconciliations of differences between GAAP and non-GAAP financial measures are available in our earnings release and on our investor relations website.
- •Itron delivered another quarter of record earnings and profitability, underscoring the durability of our model and accelerating demand for Grid Edge Intelligence.
- •Highlights on slide 4 include revenue of $572 million, adjusted EBITDA of $99 million, non-GAAP EPS of $2.46, and free cash flow of $112 million.
- •Our value has grown significantly, as demonstrated by increased adoption of Grid Edge Intelligence, Outcomes growth, record financial results, surging annual recurring revenue, and the expansion of our offerings through strategic acquisitions.
- •Turning to slide 6, our fourth quarter bookings were $737 million, with a total backlog at quarter end of $4.5 billion.
- •Continued momentum in Grid Edge Intelligence demand resulted in a record backlog for our Outcomes segment.
- •As an expansion to our commitment to utility resiliency, we announced during the quarter the acquisition of Urbint, a provider of AI-enhanced solutions for emergency preparedness and response, damage prevention, and worker safety.
- •With both acquisitions now closed, we are introducing a new reporting segment named Resiliency Solutions.
- •Over the past years, we have added power flow analysis and planning software solutions to support detailed grid planning and interconnect analysis.
- •Proactive resiliency is a top priority for our customers, which aligns well with our strategic investments and drives higher margins and recurring revenue growth in 2026 and beyond.
What went well
- •Itron delivered record fourth-quarter earnings and profitability, with revenue of $572 million (above its expected range), adjusted EBITDA of $99 million, non-GAAP EPS of $2.46, and free cash flow of $112 million.
- •Adjusted gross margin of 40.7% set a record, up 580 basis points year-over-year on favorable customer and product mix, and adjusted EBITDA of 17% of revenue was a new high.
- •Fourth-quarter bookings were strong at $737 million, total backlog ended at $4.5 billion, and the Outcomes segment reached record backlog above $1 billion (up 58% year-over-year).
- •The company introduced an annual recurring revenue metric of approximately $368 million, up 20% year-over-year, and pipeline grew 27% from the end of 2024.
- •Itron closed two acquisitions, Urbint and Locusview, forming a new Resiliency Solutions segment that extends its reach across the full asset lifecycle.
- •Outcomes revenue grew 22% on a constant-currency basis to a record $112 million, and full-year 2025 set annual records for gross margin (37.7%), adjusted EBITDA ($374 million), non-GAAP EPS ($7.13), and free cash flow ($383 million, 16.2% of revenue).
What went wrong
- •Fourth-quarter revenue declined year-over-year due to planned portfolio changes and the timing of large project deployments, with Device Solutions down 7% and Network Solutions down 15% on a constant-currency basis.
- •Full-year 2025 revenue of $2.37 billion fell 3% year-over-year, partly because 2024 included a catch-up of previously constrained revenue that did not repeat.
- •The 2026 outlook implies essentially flat revenue (1% growth at midpoint) and lower EPS, with the two recent acquisitions dilutive to 2026 EPS by approximately $0.38 per share due to reduced interest income on the $850 million spent.
- •Outcomes adjusted gross margin declined 230 basis points year-over-year on lower software license mix, and the new Resiliency Solutions segment posted a negative 3.6% operating margin in the quarter.
Guidance changes
| Metric | Period | Previous | Current | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue (full year) | FY2026 | — | $2.35B-$2.45B | Midpoint represents 1% growth vs 2025 |
| Non-GAAP EPS (full year) | FY2026 | — | $5.75-$6.25 | Down ~$0.32 at midpoint (tax-normalized), driven by acquisitions |
| Effective tax rate | FY2026 | — | 22% | — |
| Resiliency Solutions revenue | FY2026 | — | $65M-$70M (gross margin ~70%) | New segment included in outlook |
| Revenue | Q1 2026 | — | $565M-$575M | Down 6% vs Q1 2025 |
| Non-GAAP EPS | Q1 2026 | — | $1.20-$1.30 | Down ~$0.27 at midpoint vs last year |
| ARR growth | FY2026 | — | Mid-teens to ~20% | From year-end 2025 to year-end 2026 |
| 2027 revenue target | FY2027 | $2.6B-$2.8B | Target stands, likely toward lower end | Reaffirmed; new long-term targets to be set at a future investor day |
Performance breakdown
| Metric | YoY change | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | Lower (down to $572M) | Planned portfolio changes and timing of large project deployments |
| Adjusted gross margin | +580 bps to 40.7% (record) | Favorable customer and product mix |
| Adjusted EBITDA | +21% to $99M (17% of revenue, record) | Strong execution and margin expansion |
| Non-GAAP EPS | +$1.11 to $2.46 (record) | $0.45 from pre-tax operating performance (gross profit fall-through) and $0.69 from lower tax expense |
| Free cash flow | +$42M to $112M | Year-over-year earnings growth and improved working capital |
| Device Solutions revenue | -7% constant currency | Expected decline in legacy electricity products in EMEA and timing of North America project deployments |
| Network Solutions revenue | -15% | Primarily the timing of project deployments |
| Outcomes revenue | +22% constant currency to record $112M | Increase in delivery services and continued growth of recurring revenue |
| Device Solutions adj gross margin | +780 bps to 34.4% (record) | Favorable customer and product mix |
| Network Solutions adj gross margin | +690 bps to 42% | Favorable customer and product mix |
| Outcomes adj gross margin | -230 bps to 41.7% | Lower software license mix (operating margin still up 420 bps on operating leverage) |
Earnings call themes & trends
| Topic | Previous mention | Current period | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|
| Annual recurring revenue (ARR) | — | New metric introduced at ~$368M, up 20% YoY; expected mid-teens to ~20% growth in 2026 | New / growing |
| Resiliency Solutions (Urbint + Locusview) | — | New segment from acquisitions; accretive to revenue growth, gross margin and EBITDA but dilutive ~$0.38 to 2026 EPS; accretive by end of 2027 | New |
| Project deployment timing / slips | Slips/delays seen mid-2025 from data center siting froth and uncertain government funding | No further movement; bookings moving at a normalized, lumpy pace | Stabilizing |
| Outcomes / Grid Edge Intelligence growth | Outcomes grew ~10% during network constraints | Outcomes up 22% YoY in Q4; DI endpoints up 25%, apps up 70%; backlog above $1B | Accelerating |
| Bookings | — | Q4 bookings $737M (down YoY on tough comp); full-year down ~4% vs 2024; pipeline up 27% | Normalizing |
| 2027 targets | Revenue $2.6B-$2.8B; margin/EBITDA/FCF targets | Margin, EBITDA and FCF targets already achieved in 2025; revenue target stands, likely lower end | Ahead on profitability |
Q&A summary
Noah Kaye (Oppenheimer) asked for an update on utility demand and behavior trends and which KPIs to watch for the shape of demand.
Management said Q4 bookings were strong at $737 million across several hundred unique wins, the mid-2025 slips have not moved further, and bookings are at a normalized (if lumpy) pace; key KPIs are pipeline growth (up 27%), Outcomes backlog (up 58% to over $1 billion), and ARR ($368 million, up 20%).
Noah Kaye (Oppenheimer) asked whether the $368 million ARR is a Q4 run-rate figure and where it could be by year-end 2026.
Management confirmed it is a Q4 annualized run-rate and the CFO expects mid-teens to up to 20% growth measured from year-end 2025 to year-end 2026, including both acquisitions in the 2026 expectations.
Mark Strouse (J.P. Morgan) asked about barriers to entry and Itron's right to win in Resiliency Solutions and Outcomes amid AI disruption concerns.
Management said both digital construction management and protection solutions rely on field-service tools used by thousands of workers, making them very sticky; it cited 3.5 million restoration hours during Winter Storm Erin and noted AI value depends on how trusted data is captured and processed.
Davis Sunderland (Baird) asked about Book and Ship business trends and the bookings needed this year to underpin the 2027 targets.
Management said ordering patterns have normalized with no cancellations, Book and Ship remains healthy in electricity and Europe (US water slowed somewhat but is less material), and the ability to bridge customers through technology transitions supports the outlook.
Scott Graham (Seaport) asked whether the 2027 revenue target of $2.6B-$2.8B should now be viewed at the lower end.
Management said gross margin, EBITDA and free cash flow 2027 targets were already achieved in 2025, the revenue target still stands but will likely land toward the lower end depending on network deployment pace, and new long-term targets will be set at a future investor day.
Joseph Osha (Guggenheim) asked for color on the 12-month backlog, historically around 35% of total.
Management said the 12-month backlog is around $1.6 billion (to appear in the 10-K), up roughly $150 million from Q3, but cautioned that historical comparisons are difficult given COVID-era noise and a higher share of book-and-ship in the interim period.