Jana Galan — Analyst, Bank of America
Thank you, congrats on the quarter. Maybe digging into the leasing spreads, which were very strong and very encouraging to hear, was pretty broad-based across the various markets. Can you help us think about what we should expect moving forward? Something on the mark to market on the overall portfolio?
Angela Aman — CEO, Kilroy Realty
Sure. Yeah, I will jump in here, then certainly Rob and Jeffrey can jump in as well. I would say a few things. As Jeffrey mentioned and you highlighted, Jana, the spreads in the quarter were pretty broad based. This wasn't a quarter that was driven by one or two leases. We had pretty consistently positive economics across most of the pool of leases that were signed during the quarter in a wide range of markets. Really encouraging activity, both new leases and renewals. As Jeffrey mentioned in his prepared remarks, spreads in any given quarter are going to depend a lot on the mix of transactions, the mix of markets those transactions are in. Spreads, even as we continue to move in the right direction in terms of the improvement in broader lease economics, spreads can vary quarter to quarter based on the pool.
As we think about the broader mark to market across the portfolio, I would say it's reasonably consistent with what we've described on previous calls. Again, we continue to move in the right direction. We continue to be a bit above market in both San Francisco and L.A., and below market in our other three markets. I would just note that in San Francisco and L.A., but San Francisco to a larger degree, the degree to which we are currently sitting above market has compressed over the last quarter or two as we have seen that improvement in supply and demand dynamics translate into stronger leasing economics.
Jana Galan — Analyst, Bank of America
Thank you. Maybe following up to some Flower Mart, where you're kind of seeing current rents not yet supporting office or resi development, but both are moving very quickly. Any indication of which can make more sense or could this maybe go all office eventually?
Eliott Trencher — EVP and CIO, Kilroy Realty
Hey, Jana, it's Eliott. You're right. We're still not quite there. Taking what Angela just said and applying it to Flower Mart, we're obviously getting closer day by day because the market continues to strengthen. Right now, resi markets are a little bit closer to penciling in terms of where our rents need to be to justify development. Both are improving at a pretty good clip. We'll just see how the next several quarters play out.
Seth Bergey — Analyst, Citi
Hi, thanks for taking the question. Maybe just to follow up on Flower Mart, would you kind of look to carry the interest expense into 2027? Given that the current market isn't supporting additional office or resi development, would you look to sell or JV that asset? When would you kind of expect to potentially announce something to the investment community?
Angela Aman — CEO, Kilroy Realty
Yeah, I think we've been really focused on making sure that as we move through a process with Flower Mart, that we are being very transparent and open with the investment community about how that is playing out and what that will mean for potential future decision making. We continue to work through a process with the city right now, we are confident that we will be at the end of that process sometime later in the fourth quarter of this year. That process we've been working through is going to give us the ability to build a different mix of uses or a wider range of uses on the site, as well as to give us some relief under the existing or legacy development agreement that really would have made it very difficult economically to phase the projects in any way that made sense.
In order to make whatever the next best decision is on the Flower Mart, it is really critical we get through this process with the city to enhance our flexibility and optionality at the site. Which is, I'm very confident, I think our whole team is very confident, is improving the economic value of the Flower Mart site long term. As we continue to navigate this process and we get into year-end, as we solidify the additional flexibility we expect to have, we're continuing to evaluate the market, be really mindful of what the next best path might be, whether or not it is all resi, whether or not it's all commercial, whether or not it's probably most likely a mix of uses. We'll be able to make better decisions around what that means in terms of our continued ownership of all or a part of the site.
Right now, the primary focus for everybody on this platform is that we get to the end of the process with the city, that we do everything we need to do to ensure that the Flower Mart site is placed into development, placed into service as soon as economically feasible in order to support the needs of the Central SoMa community.
Seth Bergey — Analyst, Citi
Thanks. Just on KOP 2, encouraging to hear that the life science market is improving. Could you just maybe kind of bucket some of the increase in demand you're seeing for the project into how much of that is just tour activity? How much of that do you expect to kind of convert into leases, and do you have any leases out? Just given kind of the overall strength of improving demand, have your yield expectations or timeline for stabilization changed for the project?
Rob Paratte — EVP and Chief Leasing Officer, Kilroy Realty
Sure. This is Rob. Let me just lay a backdrop for you regarding Q2 and leasing in South San Francisco and the peninsula. There were only eight leases signed over 20,000 ft in Q2, which comes off a very big 2025, obviously. One of the largest was our deal with Olema, two others were in Silicon Valley, and two were in the East Bay. What's changed dramatically is the amount of touring activity, which I know that is the highest predictor of where you're going to go next, which is LOIs or leases. We went from 317,000 sq ft of tours in Q1 of 2026 to over 800,000 ft of tours, and we're talking to many of those firms now. Just to give more color on the level of activity we have, as Angela indicated in her comments, we have a broad range of sizes that we're talking to.
A lot of the deals that are in the market right now are in the 20,000ft-40,000 ft range. Our last spec suite that's available has multiple parties interested in it, and we expect to be able to report something shortly on that. We are also building two new floors of spec labs, and those will be available in December and January respectively, and we've got activity on the bulk of those already. Interestingly, when you flip to larger requirements, right now there are eight requirements over 100,000 sq ft. The next tier down is really that there are about 25 tenants in the 20,000ft-70,000 ft range. That is what's driving the 800,000 ft of touring activity we've had.
I think one last point I'd make is that we're seeing more and more in the peninsula, South San Francisco peninsula, and further south, that robotics companies are having large requirements, many of them over 100,000 ft. The result of that is that it's going to reduce the amount of available space for life science companies to take in terms of R&D type space. We think that's going to benefit Oyster Point really well. We're not suited at KOP for R&D type space, but we could handle robotics of certain uses. We see demand coming in on multiple fronts right now, and it just hasn't looked this good in quite a while.
Steve Sakwa — Analyst, Evercore ISI
Yeah, thanks. I guess good morning out there. Obviously, your commentary, excuse me, around leasing is certainly constructive. As you look at the pace of the recovery over the next couple of years, I guess, what are the things that are maybe positively surprising you and maybe what are the things that could slow or hamper the overall recovery in the Kilroy portfolio?
Angela Aman — CEO, Kilroy Realty
Yeah. Thanks, Steve. I appreciate the question. We do feel really good about what we've seen, even just over the last quarter or two as it relates to strengthening of the leasing environment. It's true across markets. There are different drivers for that across all of our different markets. In San Francisco, our largest market, we've really seen a pretty significant change in tone that's been driven by just the degree to which availability has been taken up, the focus on high quality space and the flight to quality trends that have really limited the remaining blocks that are available for tenants and high quality in nature. We've seen that translate pretty quickly into improved lease economics.
As I mentioned in my speech, one of the most encouraging dynamics we've seen is that bringing many of our existing tenants to the table that have longer dated expirations that are realizing availability and options down the road will be much more limited. That large blocks will be at a premium and wanting to engage in conversations about early renewal activity sooner certainly than we expected it to. There's no one data point in any of these markets, including San Francisco, that's really making us feel good about the durability of the recovery. It does feel really broad based.
It feels like we're seeing all of these things sort of fall into place in the order we would like to see and expect to, but on a compressed timeframe that's really just driven by the amount of new business formation and growth we've seen in markets like San Francisco, and the degree to which that's pulling all tenants off the sidelines to re-engage and demonstrate a higher propensity to transact. Really encouraging there. Even in markets that over the last couple of years have been much slower for us, like Los Angeles, really seeing some good trends kind of come out across many sub-markets, like I mentioned earlier. Specifically what we're seeing in the South Bay down through Long Beach in terms of defense, aerospace, robotics, those kinds of uses has been really exciting and encouraging as well. I think lots of reasons to be optimistic.
We, over the last year or two, have continued to underscore that the recovery is not going to be a perfectly straight line. That leasing activity, as an example, spread activity, is not going to consistently improve quarter to quarter to quarter. We feel very good about the trends. We feel very good about the size of the pipeline right now, about the degree to which rents are firming up in our markets, and look forward to executing through the balance of the year.
Steve Sakwa — Analyst, Evercore ISI
Okay, thanks. Maybe just as a follow-up to that comment, you've got the DirecTV space, I guess, coming due maybe a little over one year from now. You talked about the defense tech and robotics. To what extent do you have more confidence around re-leasing that building, or do you still kind of view that as possibly a better sell candidate?
Angela Aman — CEO, Kilroy Realty
We continue to evaluate all options with respect to the Kilroy Airport Center campus. I think we'll have multiple different paths we can take there. I do think what's happening in that market, like I mentioned, based on sort of some industries that used to be pretty prevalent in that market really coming back in a pretty significant way. Excuse me. Given the way that technology is changing, and that you've got new companies in that space and existing companies that are expanding or changing the way they're using their space is pretty interesting. We feel like things are moving in the right direction in that market, either for re-leasing or for a disposition. As you mentioned, the bulk of that lease expiration doesn't happen until the fourth quarter of 2027. We have some time, but we will continue to explore all possible options to maximize value there.
Caitlin Burrows — Analyst, Goldman Sachs
Hi. Good morning there. My question, first one, was going to be about 2027 renewals, which probably follows up on that last point. Realize that there might be some overlap there. I guess when you look at the lease expirations that you have in 2027, it's around 1 million square feet, which is essentially the same as one year ago. I'm wondering, when do you really start working on or making progress on those 2027 expirations? Giving the weighting to L.A., kind of how does that make you feel about the 2027 retention versus 2026?
Angela Aman — CEO, Kilroy Realty
Yeah. The weight in L.A. is primarily driven by that DirecTV AT&T expiration in the fourth quarter of 2027. Outside of that, across the balance of the 2027 expiration pool, it's highly granular in nature. I think maybe we have one other expiration that's give or take around 80,000-90,000 sq ft, and after that it drops down to below 50,000 sq ft. We feel good about the granularity of the pool. Obviously, we need to work through DirecTV AT&T at Kilroy Airport Center. As I mentioned, we're exploring a wide range of options for that campus and that location. Outside of that, we feel actually pretty good about renewal possibilities given the granularity and how diversified the rest of the pool really is.
Caitlin Burrows — Analyst, Goldman Sachs
Okay. On the development front, I think guidance for development spend is now ±$150 million for the year. Can you go through which project or projects you expect to be active on in the second half?
Jeffrey Kuehling — EVP, CFO, and Treasurer, Kilroy Realty
Hey, Caitlin, it's Jeffrey. The primary component of the development spend is for KOP 2. As leasing activity and the build out from some of the leases you see in those signed but not commenced pipelines continues, you'll see the capital spend accelerate in the second half of the year.
Blaine Heck — Analyst, Wells Fargo
Great. Thanks. Angela, your remarks on the markets are really helpful, but I was hoping you or Rob could talk a little bit about the relative strength of the Silicon Valley and Peninsula markets versus San Francisco CBD. Are you seeing any tenants being priced out or not finding large enough contiguous space in San Francisco and looking more toward the Valley or Peninsula?
Rob Paratte — EVP and Chief Leasing Officer, Kilroy Realty
Hi, Blaine, it's Rob. It's a good question. I think what we're seeing is equilibrium coming back between San Francisco and the Valley. For years, the Valley had a lot of vacant space on the market. That is being absorbed, and as I mentioned earlier, there's a lot of robotics companies. It's actually amazing how much autonomous vehicles and robotics companies related to vehicles as well as other medical, et cetera, is coming into the market. I think certain formats lend themselves better to the Valley, like Waymo, which is in one of our buildings, and other formats lend themselves better to a San Francisco or South San Francisco type location. We're not really seeing displacement. It's more a choice between San Francisco and Silicon Valley.
I would really hone in on our assets in Redwood City, where we're continuing to be really pleased with the activity we see, not only at Crossing 900, I wish we had more space there. Also at 1900 Broadway, our new development. Redwood City has really come onto its own as a key city or factor in Silicon Valley office market. To me, it looks like a pretty broad-based recovery and demand profile across Silicon Valley up to San Francisco.
Angela Aman — CEO, Kilroy Realty
Yeah. The only thing I'd add to that is that we've also seen in the Valley, sublease space coming off the market at a pretty good clip as well. Existing users pulling space off. I think we might have even talked about that on last quarter's call. Over the last couple of quarters, that's been a significant driver to kind of tighten up the Silicon Valley market in addition.
Blaine Heck — Analyst, Wells Fargo
Great. That's very helpful. Maybe sticking with Rob, can you talk about trends with respect to CapEx or concessions? It looks like the concessions on executed leases decreased a bit this quarter. Was that just a mix issue, or are there any trends to read into with respect to TIs and free rent in particular?
Rob Paratte — EVP and Chief Leasing Officer, Kilroy Realty
It's a little bit of a mix issue. As the markets have improved, if you look at San Francisco and in quarters past, the numbers we gave you at 201 Third, leasing that we started doing at 50 or so IG, going up into the high 70s IG, does mean we have a little bit more leverage. We're able, in many cases, to negotiate down CapEx. Again, it's sort of deal specific. It's going to depend on the space, whether you're going from shell or not. I think the best thing that we've had going is our spec suite program, where we really have a tight control on the costs. We're spending the money, we're designing it, and we're building it, and tenants are using them largely unchanged. To me, that's a real positive.
As the markets improve, hopefully leverage continues to move into the landlord's favor.
Angela Aman — CEO, Kilroy Realty
Yeah. One other thing I'd note is that we had been running across our markets. Markets had been running with about a month per year of the lease as free rent. During the current quarter with the population we executed, we were actually closer to a half a month per year of the lease, which is the most favorable it's been in the last several years. Rob and I continue to debate whether that's a trend or whether that was a mix issue. Certainly things across the board moving in the right direction as it relates to holistic lease economics.
Dylan Burzinski — Analyst, Green Street
Hi, good morning. Thanks for taking the question and appreciate the comments so far on sort of the demand environment across your guys' market footprint. Maybe just a quick question for you, Eliott. You mentioned that you guys are in process of sort of evaluating several acquisition opportunities. You mentioned capital markets are improving and therefore there being sort of a larger depth of assets to go after. Are you seeing any sort of divergences in your guys' mind with where you guys seen demand and fundamentals head, versus where maybe cap rates or price per square feet are across your markets? I guess, let me say it another way. Is there any sort of opportunity for you guys to take advantage of pricing being slower to react to that fundamental backdrop that you guys are seeing across any of your markets?
Eliott Trencher — EVP and CIO, Kilroy Realty
Yeah, I think it's a really good question, Dylan, and the answer is potentially. I think it applies not just to what we would buy, but also to what we would sell, and tried to allude to that in my remarks as well. What you're really hitting on is a lot of our investment philosophy in a nutshell, where we're really looking like asset by asset, taking a forward-looking view of what we think the fundamentals will be like, and then overlaying where we think values are. We definitely have seen some of those mismatches, which is why we've sold some of the things that we've sold in late last year and early this year in some of our L.A. markets, et cetera. Also, I think that was part of what we liked about our Maple Plaza opportunity, which is playing out favorably.
That's really the whole trick of what we're trying to do, is look for those mispricings, and if we see something that's compelling, then we won't hesitate to move on it. If we don't, we're totally comfortable being patient.
Dylan Burzinski — Analyst, Green Street
Maybe just a follow-up to that. Within that opportunity set on the acquisition side, are you guys continuing to look at life science assets? Any sort of commentary in regards to that?
Eliott Trencher — EVP and CIO, Kilroy Realty
We are. We're kind of looking at office and life science, because that's sort of what we feel like where our expertise is. It's important to be very picky about the right kind of life science asset to be in the right cluster, to be in a supply-constrained location, and to find something that we think can really outperform over the coming years. It's part of what we'll do, and we'll continue to do it, but there's no strategic goal of doing more or doing less. It's really as the opportunities present themselves.
Michael Carroll — Analyst, RBC Capital Markets
Yeah, thanks. I wanted to follow up Eliott, on that line of questioning, just the types of acquisition opportunities that Kilroy might be interested in. Can you kind of give us some ideas of the type of deals that you find intriguing? Is it more of these lease up type deals or some CapEx that require repositioning? Are there any specific markets that are more interesting than others right now?
Eliott Trencher — EVP and CIO, Kilroy Realty
Yeah. I'll start with the second part. I think as far as the markets, we're really focused on the five markets that we're in and looking for opportunities within those markets. To the first part of your question, kind of looking at some of the things that we've done in the past, there tends to be some sort of value add component that we bring to the table, that could be leasing up some vacancy, that could be investing some capital, or that could be taking a position on future lease roll and what that might look like. We haven't historically bought a lot of core assets. Not to say that we wouldn't, but we haven't found the good risk-adjusted returns in core profiles.
It's generally been somewhere around that core plus or value add where there's some expertise that we bring to the table, maybe some scale that we have in a particular geography, something that makes us a better buyer for that particular opportunity.
Michael Carroll — Analyst, RBC Capital Markets
Okay. I appreciate that. Just circling back on San Francisco too, I know we've been talking a little bit about tenants are now ready to make decisions just given the overall activity. Within San Francisco specifically, just with the number of tenants looking for space, it looks like the available blocks, especially large blocks, are kind of dwindling. How motivated are tenants right now making decisions? I'm just trying to understand the level of FOMO that's in the market right now, and is that going to continue to ramp up here over the next few quarters?
Angela Aman — CEO, Kilroy Realty
Yeah, I'll start, I'd ask Rob to jump in as well. There's definitely some degree of FOMO in the market. I think we've seen that on the new lease side for a while, where people who are new tenants looking for new space were acting pretty decisively and prioritizing things like we've talked about, move-in ready space and space that they thought could accommodate future growth objectives. There was real sense of urgency for many of those tenants and continues to be for many of those tenants. The shift or change over the last quarter has really been on existing tenants who have some time, but are really thinking about how the market is shifting and changing. It's a combination of, yes, seeing the trajectory of rents in the market, but it's also, I think, really importantly about just availability of space.
The priority that's being put on larger blocks as some of these companies that were even startup companies a couple of years ago have matured and are looking for larger floor plates, larger sizes. That really has changed the tone and tenor from existing tenants. We've been in an environment for the last several years where those tenants have been sort of slow playing things, wanted to see how the market would evolve, assuming that there was always sort of a better deal to be cut down the road, that they would have their pick of availability, and that feeling has definitely receded. The belief is if they've got space they like now, they should be engaging in conversations to make sure that they can hold onto that space.
I think these are all really positive dynamics, and I do think something I mentioned earlier was some of the recovery had been encouraging but was pretty narrow. It's just broadening across the board and certainly broadening with legacy tenants in a wider range of industries who are seeing the way the market's shifting.
Rob Paratte — EVP and Chief Leasing Officer, Kilroy Realty
Yeah, this is Rob. Just to add a couple of points to what Angela was saying. There's 10 million square feet of demand right now in San Francisco. To give you sort of an order of magnitude of what's happening, 7.5 million square feet has been leased year-to-date in the city. Availability dropped 4.5 million feet. That's what is that? eight, nine, 10 depending, 400,000-500,000 sq ft buildings. That's a pretty dramatic drop in availability, and that is focusing tenants on what is left and whether or not their expiration is now or two or three years from now. They're not seeing that letup in demand. Areas like Showplace Square, Mission Bay, Jackson Square have had the highest demand in the last couple of quarters, but now the South Financial District is seeing that demand.
When you look at 100 First, for example, vacancy in that sub-market where our asset is, 100 First and Salesforce campus vacancies dropped to about 12%. There is a lot of demand that's driving tenants to make decisions quicker than they would. The last thing I'd say is we have the good fortune of being pretty highly leased in San Francisco. We went from 25% leased at 201 Third to almost 90% in over a year. We're really focused on 303 and 360 now.
John Kim — Analyst, BMO Capital Markets
Thank you. Angela, you mentioned the demand for move-in ready space. I think we've heard that from some other office landlords as well. I was wondering if, because of that, you're providing or you plan to provide more prebuilt space to accommodate that demand. If so, how much of your portfolio can that be? If you could discuss what the leasing economics look like versus a standard lease.
Angela Aman — CEO, Kilroy Realty
Yeah. We certainly have thought long and hard about it within the San Francisco market, though we've been executing spec suite strategies across the entirety of the portfolio. I think we've been really intentional and measured, even in a market like San Francisco, where the demand has been primarily up until now a lot of the move-in ready spaces. That has come from a combination, though, to be clear, of spec suites that we're building out, as well as space that have been recently vacated by other users, where tenants have been willing and able to reuse existing improvements, kind of bringing down that overall capital requirement. It's been an encouraging dynamic overall.
We have been intentional about making sure we're designing and we're planning for additional spec suites, but in certain cases, including like at 201 Third, we've seen demand for some of these companies have grown and evolved, demand for non-spec suites really start showing up ahead of the building out of some of those spec suites. An encouraging dynamic as it relates to the maturity of some of the demand we're seeing in the market also.
When we think about the remaining vacancy we have in the portfolio, I think it's really important to acknowledge there are some places that a spec suite strategy will be really effective, and other places where we don't think it's the right use of capital, and that space is really better left in kind of shell condition, and the right tenant for that space is going to want to do a full build out. It's not a one size fits all approach. We're trying to be really targeted and strategic by how we spend that capital, where we spend it, and making sure that we have high conviction around being able to lease that space really quickly. In the case of 201 Third, we actually leased all those spec suites while they were still in construction.
Those are the kind of stories we're looking for and trying to deliver on.
John Kim — Analyst, BMO Capital Markets
Okay, you mentioned sublease activity or sublease availability compressing in many of your markets. Do you [inaudible] this in your [inaudible] that I think [inaudible]. I'm wondering what that figure is today in the Kilroy portfolio.
Eliott Trencher — EVP and CIO, Kilroy Realty
Hey, John, it's Eliott. We're around the 7%-8% range available, and that's down from low double digits at its peak.
Speaker — Analyst, Barclays
Hi, this is Annabelle on for Brendan. Thank you for taking our question. How should we think about the pace of move-in from your growing backlog of signed but not yet commenced leases?
Jeffrey Kuehling — EVP, CFO, and Treasurer, Kilroy Realty
Hey, Annabelle, it's Jeffrey. The best place to really start when you think about that is the signed but not occupied disclosure on page 18 of the Supplemental. The really important piece to pick up this quarter was the leasing activity that Rob and team done effectively increased the size of that pool. The second half commencements stayed pretty consistent with what they were last quarter, but also a pretty sizable increase in 2027. We still see a lot of positive momentum from that perspective. As new leasing activity comes in, that's really what's going to help drive that occupancy level higher.
Speaker — Analyst, Barclays
Thank you. Can you give me just a little bit more color on your leasing pipeline and how much of that is for new leases versus renewals?
Rob Paratte — EVP and Chief Leasing Officer, Kilroy Realty
I'm not going to get too specific on details, but I can just tell you that I always say this, just because the quarter end does not stop the pipeline we have. In fact, I think I illustrated pretty well what we have going on at KOP, going from 300,000 ft of tours and activity to over 800,000. I'd say Angela covered it really well in her commentary. Across the board, we're seeing an uptick in demand. We're seeing at West 8, we're really happy with what we're seeing. We're bringing premier tenants to that building. We are seeing it in Austin, which is a nice change given that it's the middle of summer and generally people leave Austin. We've had a significant impact or increase in tour activity and transactional work we're doing. I'm very happy with the pipeline we're working on and more to come.
Angela Aman — CEO, Kilroy Realty
Yeah. I'll just add a little bit and kind of thread the last couple of questions together here. When we look at the signed but not commenced pool, one thing I note is that pool has been driven in large part from some of the high quality vacancies we have in the portfolio that we've talked about historically. Projects like KOP 2 delivering and being significant contributors there as well. That is all part of what's driven the rent and the composition of the leases in the signed but not commenced pool to really be a significant and disproportionate contributor to NOI as those leases deliver. The rent in that pool is very high. Again, a lot of first generation kind of leasing activity that we're really excited about, and it provides a really strong foundation for growth as we look ahead.
I do think part of the expansion in the pipeline we've seen more recently has been, as we've been talking about, sort of a resurgence in tenants looking to talk about renewals as well. Right? That part of the pipeline had been not entirely missing, but had been more limited over the last couple of years as tenants were, again, sort of slow playing. Maybe they'd sign shorter term renewals, preserve optionality and flexibility, and now we have more of those potential renewals and early renewals in the pipeline than we've had historically. Without breaking down, I would say the composition's certainly becoming more balanced than it was before, and again, sort of speaking to how broad based the recovery is at this point.
Upal Rana — Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets
Great. Thank you. Jeffrey, the company generated $1.83 in the first half. The full year earnings guidance implies a step down in the back half. Could you walk us through the specific items driving the sequential step down and the timing, particularly dispositions, no move-outs, signed but not commenced leases and development carry? Just trying to get a sense of what is going to get you to the high end or the low end of your guidance range.
Jeffrey Kuehling — EVP, CFO, and Treasurer, Kilroy Realty
Yeah, sure. The easiest place to start is really just to take the Q2 run rate. When you back out the one time item for $0.05 for the non-recurring income for 23andMe, just take that and effectively carry that forward, that should get you to the midpoint of the guidance range. From there, the real question just really revolves around some of the capital recycling assumptions. We do have a pretty wide range from a disposition perspective. Obviously, there shouldn't be much movement at this point from interest expense or capitalized interest. It's really going to be how capital recycling plays out for the back half of the year.
Upal Rana — Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets
Okay, great. That was helpful. Then, maybe Rob, similar to Harvey AI and how they expanded pretty quickly. Are you seeing a potential second wave of expansions from AI tenants that are either already in your portfolio or not? Just trying to get a sense of whether the upside from AI demand is just new tenant formation or like a second wave I had mentioned.
Rob Paratte — EVP and Chief Leasing Officer, Kilroy Realty
Yeah. I think probably the best example in San Francisco is Anthropic, that did a 249,000 sq ft new lease at 500 Howard. They followed up pretty quickly thereafter with a 72,000 ft new lease at 405 Howard. We are seeing it, we've seen it, not only with Harvey in our portfolio, but we have other tenants that we've talked to that are looking at expansion.
Angela Aman — CEO, Kilroy Realty
We had one deal during the quarter where one of the tenants that originally leased one of the spec suites at 201 Third already expanded into part of another floor. Smaller in scale than the Harvey deal certainly, but we've definitely seen some of those companies sort of, again, taking the space they need when they need it, and then being prepared to expand pretty quickly after that.
Vikram Malhotra — Analyst, Mizuho
Morning. Thanks for taking the questions. Just going back to the guidance piece. Clearly, obviously the signed but not commenced will have an impact over time as you laid out. Anything new you sign is likely more 2027 commencement. I'm just wondering, in terms of the biggest swing factors in the second half, just puts and takes to get you to the bottom or the high end. Do you mind just walking us through, just in light of all the positive commentary, I'm wondering, are there levers very near term that get you to the high end?
Jeffrey Kuehling — EVP, CFO, and Treasurer, Kilroy Realty
To really push to the high end is going to be a function of our ability to accelerate rent commencements into 2026. It won't have probably a huge impact on the cash flow and property and high growth, but it would really build more of a non-cash straight line GAAP effect. The team, as we were in the second quarter, is hustling to get every tenant we can into the spaces as quickly as possible. Obviously, spec suite leasing activity can drive short term occupancy and growth. The lead time to get those tenants into the spaces is much shorter than your traditional leasing cycle. There's certainly things we can do on the day to day, blocking and tackling to push to the top end. It all just continues to require continued execution on our end.
Vikram Malhotra — Analyst, Mizuho
Just lastly, do you mind clarifying? The SNO pipeline, the information you gave, I just want to be clear. One, that's all triple net. Theoretically, is there a margin benefit as you go into next year and all of that commences? Do you mind giving us some high level, maybe a range, or how much TI or leasing CapEx is associated with that that'll hit the income statement or the FFO next year?
Jeffrey Kuehling — EVP, CFO, and Treasurer, Kilroy Realty
Sure. Angela has consistently highlighted the importance of having triple net leases in the SNO pipeline. The ABR number we disclose is a GAAP number consistent with all of our disclosures. You're right. As these leases commence, you will see a larger impact on NOI than our standard kind of occupancy would suggest.
Angela Aman — CEO, Kilroy Realty
86% of the leases in the signed but not commenced pipeline are triple net, and that is actually disclosed with that disclosure on page 18 of the SUP.
Jeffrey Kuehling — EVP, CFO, and Treasurer, Kilroy Realty
When we look at the pipeline, it's about 50/50 first generation, second generation. To get a frame of reference on how to think about capital, if you look at our historical disclosures on just the amount of first and second generation capital we need, that will give you a good starting point.
Anthony Paolone — Analyst, JPMorgan
Thanks. I think I just have one left on numbers, and it might be overlapping some of the things you just mentioned. If I look at the $22.5 million-$24 million of NOI drag from development properties this year, do you have that number for 2Q and/or the first half just so we can kind of understand the cadence there?
Jeffrey Kuehling — EVP, CFO, and Treasurer, Kilroy Realty
Yeah. As we noted in the supplemental, the primary driver of that is really KOP 2. You're seeing it kind of accelerate throughout the year. We did capitalize part of KOP 2 in the first quarter. When you get to the second quarter, the run rate is much more stabilized for that property. It's pretty easy to just take, from my perspective, the total disclosed number and assume that's relatively ratable throughout the year.
Angela Aman — CEO, Kilroy Realty
Yeah. Q2 is a pretty good number. We're at a point because you got a full quarter of KOP 2 in the stabilized pool in Q2. From there, it will be incrementally offset as some of these tenants take occupancy. Q2 is a good starting point.
Anthony Paolone — Analyst, JPMorgan
sorry, I missed it there. Did you give us the 2Q number?
Jeffrey Kuehling — EVP, CFO, and Treasurer, Kilroy Realty
We didn't explicitly call it out, but the total amount of the pool is KOP 2, so you can just spread it throughout the year.
Anthony Paolone — Analyst, JPMorgan
Okay. it was pretty ratable