Yesterday, we issued our earnings release along with several accompanying slides detailing our results, which are available at investor.alaskaair.com. We will also refer to certain non-GAAP financial measures, such as adjusted earnings and unit cost, excluding fuel. As usual, we have provided a reconciliation between the most directly comparable GAAP and non-GAAP measures in today's earnings release. While there was no way around the overwhelming fuel headwind, we saw an extremely positive earnings trajectory throughout the quarter that only deepens our confidence in our long-term strategy.

Unit revenues strengthened, unit cost improved, and we returned to profitability in June with a double-digit pre-tax margin despite fuel prices up nearly 70% year-over-year. On fleet, cabin retrofits across our 737s are now complete, adding 1.3 million incremental first and premium class seats, and demand is absorbing them well, with premium revenues up 15% in the quarter. After restructuring our Amazon flying under a more profitable contract, we're now moving into the next phase of growth, adding four additional 737-800 freighters deployed across Hawaii and Alaska. Our new Rome, London, and Reykjavik routes are each carrying 50% or more of Atmos members, an early signal of the loyalty demand behind this expansion.

Demand is holding firm, and our integration milestones are increasingly behind us. Shane is a 25-year veteran of the company and has been instrumental in guiding us through the Hawaiian acquisition and execution of Alaska Accelerate. Today, I'll walk through our second quarter financial performance, our perspective on the near-term demand and revenue environment, and the step change in the results and performance of core levers that underpin Alaska Accelerate. In the second quarter, revenue grew to $4.1 billion, a 10% increase year-over-year on capacity that grew 1%.

What went well
  • Revenue grew 10% year-over-year to $4.1 billion on just 1% capacity growth, with unit revenue up 8.6% and accelerating sharply through the quarter (April +5.5%, May +8.8%, June +11%, total June revenue +13.2%).
  • The company returned to profitability in June with a double-digit pre-tax margin despite fuel prices up nearly 70% year-over-year, and management said absent the fuel spike it would have been a solidly profitable quarter.
  • Alaska completed the most complex milestone of the Hawaiian integration -- migrating to a single passenger service system and establishing the industry's first dual-brand PSS platform -- while leading the U.S. in on-time performance year-to-date (up five points in Q2).
  • Premium and diversified revenue streams surged: premium revenue grew 15% (now 35% of total, with more than half of every revenue dollar coming from outside the main cabin), co-brand remuneration rose 19% to $663 million, and cargo revenue grew 21%.
  • The first-ever international long-haul launches from Seattle (Rome, London Heathrow, Reykjavik) exceeded expectations, each carrying 50%+ Atmos members, and managed corporate revenues gained share (Portland +5 points to over 50% share, San Diego +4 points).
  • Atmos Rewards loyalty inflected, with active members up 15% and attrition down over 30%; the company added four Boeing 737-800 freighters (nearly doubling its dedicated freighter fleet to nine) and raised $1 billion (including its first-ever unsecured bond) to reach $3.8 billion of liquidity.
What went wrong
  • Air Group reported a GAAP net loss of $76 million (adjusted net loss of $102 million) in what should be one of its strongest quarters, an outcome management said it is not satisfied with.
  • Fuel was the dominant headwind, up nearly 70% year-over-year at $4.43 per gallon, turning what would have been a profitable quarter into a loss and driving a first-half loss of nearly $500 million.
  • Historic Hawaii rainstorms created a roughly three-point drag on unit revenue, hurting spring-break and peak-summer bookings, with Hawaii summer revenue running well below system and a similar several-point headwind expected in Q3.
  • Elevated industry capacity to Hawaii (up 7-8%) compounded the storm impact, pressuring the market's recovery.
  • Unit costs excluding fuel rose 6.5% year-over-year, including transitory items (787 crew-training costs, an employee-recognition expense tied to the PSS cutover, and tough comparisons against 2025 aircraft-sale gains).
  • The balance sheet reflected the fuel-impacted earnings, with a debt-to-capitalization ratio of 65% and trailing-12-month adjusted net leverage of 4.8x.

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodCurrent guidance
Earnings per shareQ3 2026Breakeven to $1 per share (at ~$3.75/gal fuel)
Fuel price per gallonQ3 2026~$3.75 (July $3.60, Aug/Sep $3.85 at recent spot)
System unit revenue (RASM)Q3 2026Improving sequentially to low double digits year-over-year (above June)
Capacity growthQ3 2026~2%-3% (entirely intercontinental)
Capacity growthFY2026~2% (low end; pulled ~1 point from both Q3 and Q4)
Non-fuel unit costs (CASMex)H2 2026Step down to low-to-mid single-digit growth
RASM-to-CASMex spreadH2 2026Improve several points
Full-year earnings guidanceFY2026To be updated at the September 29 Investor Day (fuel/fare volatility)

Performance Breakdown

MetricYoYNote
Total revenue +10% to $4.1B Unit revenue up 8.6% on only 1% capacity growth, driven by commercial activation of Alaska Accelerate; included a ~3-point Hawaii storm drag.
Unit revenue (RASM) +8.6% (June +11%) Material month-over-month acceleration from single-PSS activation, loyalty, premium, corporate share gains, and international launch.
Premium revenue +15% Strong demand for domestic and new international long-haul premium; now 35% of total revenue (up 1.5 points), completed 737 cabin retrofits adding 1.3M premium seats.
Co-brand (loyalty) remuneration +19% to $663M Atmos Rewards flywheel: active members +15%, attrition down 30%+, Hawaii new cardholders +73%, higher top-tier spend and redemption activity.
Cargo revenue +21% Restructured, more profitable Amazon contract and expansion; adding four 737-800 freighters for Hawaii and Alaska in early 2027.
GAAP net loss -$76M ($102M adjusted loss) Overwhelmed by fuel up ~70% year-over-year; underlying business healthy with a double-digit June pre-tax margin.
Non-fuel unit costs (CASMex) +6.5% Included transitory 787 crew-training, PSS-completion employee recognition, and 2025 aircraft-sale-gain comparisons; core growth was low-to-mid single digits.
Economic fuel cost $4.43/gal (up ~70%) Crude volatile between $70-$90/barrel; refining-margin volatility normalized through the quarter.

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious mentionCurrent periodTrend
Alaska Accelerate commercial activationBuilding integration foundationQ2 marked the 'full commercial activation' -- single PSS, single loyalty program, and Europe/Asia launch from Seattle -- producing an immediate step change in unit revenue, corporate share, loyalty, premium, and cargo, reinforcing the path to $10+ EPS and double-digit margins.
Hawaii franchise$1B franchise pre-acquisition; Maui-fire contextManagement framed the storm impact as temporary 'blips' (unlike the catastrophic Maui fires), reiterated commitment to the $8 billion premium market where Alaska holds ~50% share, with September yields accelerating above system and recovery expected in coming quarters; announced 717 fleet retirement (from 2028) in favor of 737s.
Fuel and second-half inflection~70% fuel spike drove H1 lossWith fuel easing to a ~$3.75 Q3 assumption, June's return to profitability, durable demand (Q3 RASM low double digits, forward corporate bookings +37%), and prudent capacity, management expects the second half to be a 'mirror image' of the first-half loss.
Revenue diversificationMain-cabin-heavy legacy modelMore than half of every revenue dollar now comes from outside the main cabin, spanning premium (35% of revenue), loyalty, cargo (+21%), and international -- building more durable, resilient earnings power across cycles.
International long-haul expansionDomestic-focused networkRome, London, and Reykjavik launched strongly (Rome would have been profitable on normalized fuel), with 50%+ Atmos-member loads; U.K. point-of-sale just turned on and Asia (Incheon/Narita) booked load factors up year-over-year, moving toward becoming Seattle's largest international carrier.
Balance sheet and capital allocationStrong balance sheet as strategic assetRaised $1 billion (first-ever unsecured bond plus a term loan) to hold liquidity at the top of the 15-25% range amid fuel volatility, backed by ~$20 billion of unencumbered assets; intends to aggressively pay down debt and reduce leverage once one or two quarters of stable fuel and healthy cash flow return.

Q&A Summary

Atul Maheswari (UBS) asked whether Q4 revenue/RASM should be higher than Q3 like peers, and whether Hawaii's September improvement reflects better demand or easing competitive capacity.
CFO Shane Tackett declined Q4 guidance (to be addressed at Investor Day) but said advance bookings look very strong at similar or better yields and there is no demand-trend divergence from peers. Andrew Harrison said Hawaii September incoming yields are running above system on returning demand, while acknowledging elevated Q3 industry capacity (up 7-8%) and unfinalized Q4 schedules.
Duane Pfennigwerth (Evercore) asked about the mission of the four new 737-800 freighters and clarification on variable incentive pay.
Tackett said the freighters will be Alaska-owned (acquired from another carrier and modified), deployed under Alaska's own brand -- two in Alaska and two in Hawaii -- for a quick ramp to accretive results, supporting the extra point of margin targeted under Alaska Accelerate. Emily Halverson said variable incentive pay (mostly performance-based plus operational reward programs) typically skews higher in the back half and should be roughly flat year-over-year.
Conor Cunningham (Melius) compared the Hawaii recovery to the Maui fires and asked about the 2027 controllable-margin-spread setup and idiosyncratic revenue levers.
Harrison and CEO Ben Minicucci said Hawaii is a stable ~$8 billion premium market where Alaska has ~50% share; the torrential-rain impact will recover faster than the catastrophic Maui fires. Tackett said 2027 should expand margins via RASM growth ahead of CASMex, aided by a full year of the current fare environment, lapping international/Hawaii headwinds, full premium and Starlink rollout, remaining synergies, and moving to a network revenue-management system next year.
Savi Syth (Raymond James) asked about domestic vs international capacity growth into Q4/2027 and MAX 10 delivery indications from Boeing.
Tackett said Q3/Q4 domestic is roughly flat with all growth international; 2027 growth will be more balanced but 'responsible' near a ~4% long-term target, using new MAX 10s (expected to be certified soon) to build out core cities, up-gauge, and retire aged 737-700s (about 30 aircraft at least 25 years old), which will also benefit maintenance costs.
Catherine O'Brien (Goldman Sachs) asked when the Hawaii RASM drag peaked and how to parse storm-driven booking-away versus industry capacity, plus the debt-paydown calculus.
Harrison said the peak impact was around the March-April spring-break period (even a negative booking day amid refunds), with elevated industry capacity compounding it; trajectory is improving into Q4. Tackett said Alaska wants a quarter or two of stable fuel and healthy cash flow before aggressively paying down its ample pre-payable/expiring debt; Halverson noted a modest coupon increase to a ~5.3% weighted-average interest rate.
Scott Group (Wolfe) asked whether the delta to the lower end of RASM growth is entirely Hawaii or something else, and Andrew Didora (BofA) asked why Q3 RASM wouldn't exceed June and about the international RASM headwind.
Tackett said on a fare-normalized basis all synergy categories are 'green' -- network connectivity, Seattle catchment for Asia, profitable new Europe markets, premium, and a loyalty program with ~3x the expected premium cards -- with the goal of closing the unit-revenue gap to legacy carriers on premium and international. Harrison confirmed Q3 RASM should be above June's 11%, with international (100% of near-term growth, ~8% of capacity) a roughly couple-point RASM headwind but a CASM tailwind that improves as the build-up matures.

More on Alaska Air Group, Inc.

Reported 2026-07-22 · figures from the Alaska Air Group, Inc. Q2 2026 earnings call.

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