What went well
  • Fourth quarter net sales rose 5% to a record $1.67 billion with balanced growth across regions, brands, and channels, and both Abercrombie and Hollister delivered record fourth-quarter net sales.
  • Full-year fiscal 2025 net sales reached a record $5.27 billion, up over 6% and surpassing $5 billion for the first time in company history while exceeding the growth projections given at the start of the year.
  • Hollister brands produced their eleventh consecutive quarter of net sales growth (up 6% in Q4) and grew 15% for the full year, marking two consecutive years of 15% growth driven by higher unit selling and AUR.
  • Abercrombie brands achieved management's stated goal of returning to net sales growth, up 4% in the fourth quarter on top of a record prior-year quarter after a challenging start to 2025.
  • The company delivered double-digit operating margins for the third straight year (12.5% adjusted for the full year) and full-year EPS of $10.46, its second consecutive year of EPS above $10 despite significant tariff pressure.
  • Abercrombie returned $450 million of cash to shareholders through repurchases of 5.4 million shares, equal to 11% of shares outstanding at the beginning of 2025, supported by $619 million of operating cash flow.
  • Fourth-quarter results finished at the higher end of the early-January outlook, with EPS of $3.68 up 3% and above guidance, and operating margin of 14.1% at the high end of the outlook range.
  • The digital channel delivered 44% of total sales and surpassed 1 billion visits across platforms for the first time, while the company remained a net store opener for a fourth consecutive year with four-wall store operating margins around 30%.
What went wrong
  • Tariffs were a major headwind, creating 360 basis points of pressure on the fourth-quarter operating margin and roughly 170 basis points (about $90 million) for the full year.
  • Full-year operating income fell about $80 million to $661 million and operating margin declined 250 basis points from 2024, driven primarily by tariff expense and product mix.
  • Fourth-quarter operating income declined to $236 million from $256 million a year earlier, a 210 basis point year-over-year operating margin decline, and adjusted EBITDA fell to $276 million from $293 million.
  • Adjusted full-year net income per diluted share fell to $9.86 from $10.69 in 2024, reflecting the tariff-driven earnings pressure.
  • Abercrombie brands' full-year comparable sales declined 7% (net sales down 1%), and comparable sales were soft in some regions with EMEA down 3% and APAC approximately flat in Q4, and APAC down 3% for the full year.
  • Management flagged that APAC returns have not fully reflected the level of investment, prompting a strategic review of the region, and warned of a temporary ERP go-live headwind of roughly 1 to 2 points of Q1 growth plus over 100 basis points of unfavorable Q1 operating margin impact.

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodCurrent guidance
Net sales growthFY20263% to 5% growth from $5.27 billion, expected across both brands, with ~40 bps favorable FX
Operating marginFY202612% to 12.5%, reflecting ~70 bps of incremental tariff expense (~$40 million) at the midpoint net of product mitigation
Diluted EPSFY2026$10.20 to $11.00
Effective tax rateFY2026around 29%
Diluted weighted average sharesFY2026around 45 million, incorporating 2025 and anticipated 2026 repurchases
Capital expendituresFY2026$200 million to $225 million
Share repurchasesFY2026targeting around $450 million, the primary use of free cash flow
New store experiencesFY2026around 125 experiences including 55 new stores and 70 right sizes/remodels, with ~25 closures; net opener tilted to the Americas
AURFY2026modest full-year improvement from revised ticket pricing focused on fashion elements of the assortment
Sales growth (ERP impact)Q1 20261% to 3%, with an ~1-2 point growth headwind from a ~2-week ERP go-live disruption
Operating margin (ERP/tariff)Q1 2026over 100 bps unfavorable ERP impact plus 290 bps incremental tariff headwind, partially offset by ~160 bps freight tailwind and slight AUR improvement

Performance Breakdown

MetricYoYNote
Q4 net sales +5% balanced growth across regions, brands and channels; record quarter with ~100 bps FX benefit
Q4 comparable sales +1% mid-single-digit AUR growth and low single-digit unit growth on increased traffic; spread to net sales from new stores, third-party channel and FX
Q4 operating margin -210 bps 360 bps of tariff expense partially offset by 140 bps of freight favorability in cost of sales
Q4 EPS +3% $3.68 vs $3.57, above outlook on balanced top-line growth and financial discipline
Q4 Abercrombie brands net sales +4% returned to growth (comp sales -1%) on top of a record prior-year quarter
Q4 Hollister brands net sales +6% eleventh consecutive quarter of growth (comp +3%), strength in fleece, graphics and outerwear
FY2025 net sales +6% record $5.27 billion, first time over $5 billion; growth balanced across regions and channels
FY2025 comparable sales +3% led by Americas +4%, EMEA approximately flat, APAC -3%
FY2025 Hollister brands net sales +15% comp sales +13%; second consecutive year of 15% growth from unit and AUR gains with the teen consumer
FY2025 Abercrombie brands net sales -1% comp sales -7% up against a record 2024; 6-point favorable spread from store openings and third-party channel volume
FY2025 operating income -$80M to $661M approximately $90 million of tariff expense in cost of sales plus product mix
FY2025 operating margin -250 bps to 12.5% tariff expense (~170 bps) and cost-of-sales product mix
FY2025 adjusted EPS $9.86 vs $10.69 tariff-driven earnings pressure; second consecutive year of EPS over $10
FY2025 adjusted EBITDA $816M vs $895M 16.6% Q4 / 15.5% FY margin; lower on tariff pressure
Americas net sales (FY) +7% strong cross-channel traffic, compelling marketing and continued store expansion
EMEA net sales (FY) +6% double-digit growth in the U.K. plus good growth in the Middle East and favorable FX
APAC net sales (FY) +5% solid performance across digital platforms, though comps declined 3%

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious mentionCurrent periodTrend
Read-and-react inventory / chase modelused prior years to chase demandfor the third consecutive year chased millions of units at healthy AURs; ended year with units up mid-single digits, both brands in chase position, cited as key enabler of Hollister's unplanned 15% growth
Tariff mitigation170 bps FY2025 impact (~$90M)diversified sourcing across 16+ countries, country-of-origin changes, supplier negotiations and product costing; FY2026 assumes 15% global tariffs effective Feb 24 with ~70 bps (~$40M) incremental impact and no refunds assumed
Pricing / AURno material ticket increases historicallytook revised ticket pricing on spring/fashion product starting late Q4, holding price on denim and opening-price T-shirts; initial consumer response good, expecting modest AUR growth building through 2026
APAC strategic reviewthree years of regional growth but returns lagging investmentreviewing strategic alternatives including partnerships, franchising and licensing to enhance profitability; early days, updates as appropriate
ERP / systems modernizationreplacing a ~15-year-old system architected for a different businessnew merchandising ERP going live this month with a ~2-week operational disruption; also leveraging AI, positioned to make the business faster for future growth
Channel diversification (wholesale/licensing/franchising)some digital wholesale (e.g., ASOS) and prior licensinglaunched global kids licensing and baby/toddler in Abercrombie kids; exploring more wholesale, department-store, concession and franchising options especially in EMEA and APAC amid strong inbound interest
Store fleet expansionnet opener prior three yearsfourth consecutive year as net opener, ended 2025 with 829 stores (523 Hollister, 306 A&F) and +4% square footage; ~125 new experiences planned for 2026 tilted to the Americas and weighted to the second half
Capital returnsover $1.2 billion returned via buybacks since 2021returned $450M in 2025 (11% of shares); targeting ~$450M of repurchases in 2026 as the primary use of free cash flow

Q&A Summary

Telsey (Telsey Advisory): What are the merchandising drivers for 2026 you're most excited about, and how do you think about AUR growth relative to tariff price increases and their margin impact?
Horowitz cited confidence from surpassing $5 billion in revenue for the first time and three years of double-digit margins, with the chase model driving unexpected wins like Hollister's 15% growth. Ball said the outlook holds the 15% tariff throughout the year for ~$40 million (~70 bps) incremental impact, that Q1 carries a full 290 bps incremental tariff hit before neutralizing in Q3 and turning to a Q4 tailwind, and that spring pricing taken in late Q4 will ramp to give modest full-year AUR growth.
Jefferies (Tarlowe): How do you think about the right growth algorithm for Hollister, and its areas of success and opportunity?
Horowitz credited being dialed into the teen consumer, with Q4 winners in fleece, graphics and outerwear and a successful Taco Bell Cyber Monday collaboration; investments in new stores, remodels and marketing supported the eleventh consecutive quarter of growth, and early spring response is encouraging.
Jefferies (Tarlowe): Why is this ERP implementation being called out when prior ones weren't, and are the impacts acute or longer-lasting?
Ball explained the system being replaced is ~15 years old and built for a different business; prior costs were spread over a multi-year build, whereas the Q1 impact is a contained ~2-week go-live risk tied to temporary third-party and chase interruptions, with inventory already positioned in stores and the company in good shape by Q2.
JPMorgan (Boss): How are you managing Abercrombie's return to growth against Hollister's moderation, and what is normalized growth for the two brands?
Horowitz said the goal is to grow both brands each year, with mid-single-digit growth defining success, and that Q4's balanced growth across brands, regions and channels on top of records proves the operating model is working; spring acceptance and price increases are being well received.
JPMorgan (Boss): Can you break apart the drivers behind the revenue step-down from Q4 into Q1 and the back-half improvement?
Ball said the ~5% Q4 exit rate carries into 2026 and the step down to the 1-3% Q1 guide is essentially the couple-point ERP impact, with an otherwise consistent build; Lipesky added that store growth ramps in the second half, fueling back-half revenue.
Citi (Lejuez): Is the ERP impact throughout the quarter or still ahead, and what is the cadence versus quarter-to-date trends?
Ball said cadence is relatively consistent, the ERP hit is contained to a ~2-week period just starting with go-live, inventory is positioned to support Easter and spring break, and the ~100-200 bps quarterly impact is more a comp-to-non-comp compression from third-party flow than a significant sales decline in those weeks.
Citi (Lejuez): Can you update us on your sourcing base and any changes for fiscal 2026 to monitor tariffs by country?
Ball said the company sources from over 16 countries in a diversified network built over years, the approach is not changing but always evolving for speed, cost and quality, and that Middle East sourcing operations have seen no disruptions material to receipt plans underpinning the outlook.
Citi (Lejuez): What prompted the APAC strategic review and when will you report an outcome?
Horowitz said after three years of regional growth they believe in the long-term opportunity but are assessing the go-to-market approach across the region to ensure it best serves shareholders; Ball added it is early days with the process just getting started and updates will come as appropriate.
The Retail Tracker (Shapiro): Can you update us on licensing efforts in kids and whether EMEA/APAC go-to-market will include more wholesale?
Horowitz said the global kids licensing launch pleased them and created a halo for a brand many didn't know existed, with recent baby/toddler launch capturing customers from age zero; the company is entertaining licensing, wholesale and franchising to diversify the model. Lipesky added European retail differs from the U.S. and options include department stores, wholesale and eventual concessions, and Horowitz noted strong inbound interest in both brands.
The Retail Tracker (Shapiro): Once you anniversary 2025 tariff noise, can you rebuild product margins or is this the new normal?
Ball said the company has maintained double-digit operating margins through supply-chain disruption, input inflation and now tariffs, and with great product and customer connection sees opportunity to grow AURs; the long-term goal is to offset as much tariff cost as possible, a process being worked toward with modest AUR growth in 2026.
UBS (Serna): What has consumer reaction to ticket increases been, and has quarter-to-date growth stayed consistent with Q4?
Horowitz said spring price increases were judicious and focused on fashion while holding price on denim and opening-price T-shirts, with a good initial response and a test-and-learn approach. Lipesky said the quarter started well across brands and regions after choppy late-January/early-February winter storms, with most volume still ahead and growth expected in Q1 aside from the one-time ERP headwind.
UBS (Serna): Is the Q1 freight tailwind based on contracted rates and does it persist, and how should SG&A look excluding marketing deleverage?
Lipesky gave Q1 building blocks: 290 bps incremental tariff headwind, ~160 bps freight tailwind (yes, based on contracted rates), slight AUR improvement, ~100 bps ERP headwind, and ~50 bps marketing headwind on timing (marketing roughly flat for the year as a percent of sales), with the rest of the expense base largely in line with last year's Q1.
Goldman Sachs (Keypour): How does the lapping of last year's carryover inventory drag factor into Q1 gross margin, and what does it imply for promotions?
Lipesky clarified the carryover drag was a 2024 Q1 dynamic and 2025 Q1 was already the normal base, so there is no major carryover mover; inventory is well positioned, units are up 2% excluding the ERP front-load, both brands are in chase position, and modest AUR improvement is baked in with a good promo position.
Goldman Sachs (Keypour): What separates the low end from the high end of the full-year guide?
Lipesky said it comes down to product execution, resonant marketing, consistent positive traffic and a great store experience; the 3-5% range reflects ranges of execution outcomes. Horowitz added the agile chase model is key to winning, citing Hollister's unplanned 15% as proof of the ability to respond to the customer in real time.
Raymond James (Patel): What are the building blocks of A&F growth, do you expect growth every quarter, and when do comps turn positive?
Horowitz said the full-year -1% was against the best year ever in 2024 and the brand is healthy, with continued investment in stores and marketing; Q4 strength came in fleece, outerwear and YPB with nice spring acceptance, and the expectation is to continue growing throughout 2026.
Raymond James (Patel): How are you planning units given price changes and potential demand elasticity?
Lipesky said units are in control, up 5% reported and up 2% excluding the ERP front-load, and will be kept tight and aligned with forward growth expectations while maintaining the ability to chase across both brands.
BTIG (Stichter): What are you seeing on conversion, particularly at Abercrombie and also Hollister?
Lipesky said conversion improved through the year at Abercrombie as teams stayed focused on the consumer and kept units in control to chase, with similar building improvement at Hollister reflecting confidence in the assortments, and they expect more of the same in 2026.
BTIG (Stichter): Is 12%-12.5% the right long-term margin level, and where would upside come from excluding tariff changes?
Lipesky declined to guide beyond 2026 but noted the model has delivered double-digit margins across freight, inflation and tariff environments; the business is highly cash generative with ~30% four-wall store margins, growing capital-light third-party capabilities, a strong balance sheet, and over $1.2 billion returned via buybacks since 2021, giving confidence in the model's durability and healthy long-term earnings growth.

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